Every other engine names shares. This one states the probability that a share touches +10% within the next 5 sessions — for every liquid share on the board — then freezes each stated number in a ledger and scores its own honesty against what actually happened. Proven out-of-sample before launch: Brier skill +5.1% on 89,092 unseen observations (2024–2026).
P5 = chance of a +10% touch within 5 sessions. The base rate for an average liquid share is shown above — most shares, most weeks, do not fly. High odds still fail most of the time.
Stated vs realised, from the frozen ledger. This table is the engine's track record — if the odds drift from reality it shows here first, and the engine stamps itself DEGRADED and stops being quoted.