ZEME publishes several 0-100 scores. They measure different things and they are not interchangeable. This lesson defines each one.
Confidence Engine™, how strong the evidence is
A 0-100 score for how well a stock's current behaviour matches patterns that preceded moves in the past. Currently computed across 392 scored stocks.
The honest part: we measured confidence against the operator win rate it was supposed to predict and found a correlation of +0.04, which is, statistically, none. That reconciliation is still open and is documented in our Where ZEME is weak course. Treat confidence as a ranking aid, not a probability.
Decision Score™ (the Buy Score). The one that gates everything
The number that actually decides whether a stock appears on a ZEME surface:
Buy Score = 0.6 × entry timing + 0.4 × confidence
Entry timing asks whether price is still near the accumulation zone with a healthy RSI. Confidence is the score above. The weighting is deliberate: where you buy is weighted 1.5× more than how sure we are, because our own exit study found the entry mattered more than the conviction.
Operator Score™, who is behind the stock
Each stock is mapped to an operator archetype with a historical win rate and average gain. The archetypes behave very differently. From our forensic study:
- DRY_UP. The best risk-adjusted archetype we measured
- DEEP_LOADER, the most common by far
- ABSORPTION, measured negative on short horizons
That last one matters: an archetype that sounds sophisticated measured worse than doing nothing.
Liquidity Score™, can you actually trade it
Built from 60-day average traded value with a hard floor of 10,000 shares/day average. Every ZEME scan applies this floor. A signal on a stock you cannot get out of is not a signal.
The related rule you will see on the Track Record page: never take more than 10% of a stock's daily traded value, or your own order becomes the move.
Exit Risk™, how badly it can turn
Grades the risk of a reversal or trap. This exists because of the largest measured leak we have found in our own record: ZEME's live daily picks reached a median peak of +5.03% but a median close of −0.13% at the same horizon. The move happened, then was given back.
Do this now, practical activity
- Open Signals and find the Buy Score on any stock.
- Work out roughly what its two components must have been. A high score with mediocre confidence means the entry is what qualified it.
- Now open the Track Record and compare the peak column against the "now" column on older picks.
What that comparison teaches: the difference between a stock that reached a level and one that held it. Every score above helps with the first. Only your exit order handles the second.
Measured: ZEME's live daily picks reached a median peak of +5.03% against a median close of −0.13% at the same horizon. Confidence correlated +0.04 with operator win rate, effectively zero, and that reconciliation remains open.