Every number in this course is a real PSX trade you could have seen coming, reconstructed from our price database exactly as it stood on the day. No hindsight selection: the winners were sorted by peak gain and the losers by worst 30-session close.
We start with the cleanest example of the strongest rule in the Academy.
KOHTM, Textile Composite, 1 June 2026
The setup on the day, all knowable before the close:
| Reading | Value | What the measured table says |
|---|---|---|
| Close vs 20-day high | above it | breakout, 1.42× / 1.20× |
| Volume vs 60-day average | 3.51× | heavy-volume breakout, 1.63× / 1.26× |
| RSI | 76 | high band, 1.52× / 1.23× |
| Position vs upper Bollinger band | outside it | 1.36× / 1.21× |
| Price | Rs 68.16 |
Four independent readings, all in the "works" column, on the same day.
What followed
| Entry (1 June close) | Rs 68.16 |
| Reached +20% (Rs 81.79) | 2 sessions later |
| Peak within 30 sessions | Rs 210.00, +208.1% |
| Close after 30 sessions | Rs 136.60, +100.4% |
The target was collectible on the second day. A resting sell at Rs 81.79 would have filled while most people were still deciding whether the breakout was real.
The part that is easy to miss
Peak +208%, close +100%. Even in one of the best trades on the exchange this year, half the maximum move was given back by session 30. That is the same gap you met in What Makes a Stock Move 20%, ZEME's own live picks show a median peak of +5.03% against a median close of −0.13%.
KOHTM is not the exception to the exit problem. It is the exit problem, at a scale large enough to see clearly.
What this case actually proves: not that breakouts work, one case proves nothing. It proves what a 1.63× setup looks like on the day, so you can recognise the shape. The 1.63× came from 1,576 observations; KOHTM is what one of them felt like.
Do this now, practical activity
- Open SuperCharts and load KOHTM.
- Set the range to cover March-August 2026.
- Find 1 June. Confirm for yourself: was price above the previous 20 sessions' high? Was the volume bar taller than its neighbours?
- Now find the peak and the level 30 sessions after entry, and measure the give-back yourself.
Measured: KOHTM broke its 20-day high on 2026-06-01 at Rs 68.16 on 3.51× average volume with RSI 76, reached +20% within 2 sessions, peaked at Rs 210.00 (+208.1%) and closed the 30-session window at +100.4%.