WAIT — earned weight 0.0 of 1.00, the summed measured record of the backing engines.
Because. engines disagree — new_alerts: COILING
Evidence. phase_ledger (weight 0.00); fair_value (weight 0.00); m12_radar (weight 0.00)
Risk. stop-loss 68.07 (9.5% below the close). Most holdings here lose money within 5-10 sessions — exit at the stop.
The case against. strongest reason to stay out: distribution alert; 20% above fair value. A cheap share can keep falling.
The alternative. WAIT. Doing nothing is usually right — no engine currently has a proven edge on this share.
Base rate. about 1 in 4 liquid PSX shares touches +10% within 10 sessions anyway (25.87%, n=54,955 observations, 2017-2026). ZEME only recommends action when an engine has beaten that in its own record.
Measured from 35 completed Distributing runs in ZEME's recorded phase history — these are frequencies of what actually happened next, not forecasts:
Typical stay in this phase: 2 sessions (median). durations are censored: the phase record begins 2026-07-16, so runs that started earlier or are still open are not measured here
ZEME publishes the case against its own signals, and the base rate any share has to beat. Educational analysis, not investment advice.
| Price | Rs 75.19 |
| ZEME fair value | Rs 60.50 |
| Discount to fair value | -19.5% |
| Smart-money phase | Distributing |
| Confidence score | 12/100 |
| RSI (14) | 61.0 |
| P/E | 10.4 |
| ROE | 35.5% |
| Dividend yield | —% |
| 52-week range | Rs 43.10 – Rs 103.50 |
| Sector | Cement |
| Shariah-compliant | Yes ☪ |
THCCL (Thatta Cement Co. Ltd) trades at Rs 75.19 on the Pakistan Stock Exchange, in the Distributing smart-money phase — distributing. ZEME's model puts fair value near Rs 60.50, making it about 19.5% overvalued. Smart money appears to be selling into strength — treat rallies with caution.
ZEME AI reads THCCL through operator accumulation/distribution phases, fair value across three methods, RSI and volume, plus institutional flow (FIPI/LIPI & off-market) — the same smart-money engine behind our daily PSX signals. For the live chart, entry/stop/target and history, open the interactive analysis above.
Caution — ZEME flags distribution/exit; this is not a fresh accumulation setup. Smart money appears to be selling into strength — treat rallies with caution. As of 27 Aug 2026, THCCL is in the Distributing phase with a ZEME confidence score of 12/100.
ZEME estimates THCCL's fair value at about Rs 60.50, versus a market price of Rs 75.19 — roughly 19.5% overvalued.
THCCL is currently in the Distributing phase. Smart money appears to be selling into strength — treat rallies with caution.
Data updated 27 Aug 2026 from ZEME AI's PSX engine. Educational analytics, not investment advice — do your own research and use a stop loss. Trading carries risk.