Is RPL a Buy? RPL Smart-Money Analysis, Fair Value & Signal

ZEME verdict — Early Load phase

Constructive — ZEME sees smart-money accumulation; check the entry vs the load zone.

What ZEME decides about RPL, and why

ILLIQUID — earned weight 0 of 1.00, the summed measured record of the backing engines.

Because. Rs2.7mn/day — too thin to exit a 5-10 lac ticket

Risk. stop 14.10 (8.4% below close) — exit there

The case against. against: phase EARLY LOAD (median -0.58% over 595 completed runs, 39.8% win) — the median run in this phase LOSES; 48% above fair value

What happens next after the Early Load phase

Measured from 612 completed Early Load runs in ZEME's recorded phase history — these are frequencies of what actually happened next, not forecasts:

WATCHING — 64.7% of the time (n=396)
LOADING — 20.3% of the time (n=124)
LAUNCHING — 7.4% of the time (n=45)
FULLY LOADED — 3.8% of the time (n=23)
RUNNING — 2.1% of the time (n=13)
EXITED — 1.5% of the time (n=9)

Typical stay in this phase: 3 sessions (median). measured from 2026-07-16

ZEME publishes the case against its own signals, and the base rate any share has to beat. Educational analysis, not investment advice.

Price	Rs 15.51
ZEME fair value	Rs 8.09
Discount to fair value	-47.8%
Smart-money phase	Early Load
Confidence score	38/100
RSI (14)	51.1
P/E	19.1
ROE	1.3%
Dividend yield	6.5%
52-week range	Rs 12.00 – Rs 21.20
Sector	Paper & Board
Shariah-compliant	Yes ☪

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RPL (Roshan Packages Ltd) trades at Rs 15.51 on the Pakistan Stock Exchange, in the Early Load smart-money phase — starting to accumulate. ZEME's model puts fair value near Rs 8.09, making it about 47.8% overvalued. Smart money is starting to accumulate — the earliest stage of a potential move.

ZEME AI reads RPL through operator accumulation/distribution phases, fair value across three methods, RSI and volume, plus institutional flow (FIPI/LIPI & off-market) — the same smart-money engine behind our daily PSX signals. For the live chart, entry/stop/target and history, open the interactive analysis above.

Is RPL a buy right now?

Constructive — ZEME sees smart-money accumulation; check the entry vs the load zone. Smart money is starting to accumulate — the earliest stage of a potential move. As of 16 Oct 2026, RPL is in the Early Load phase with a ZEME confidence score of 38/100.

What is RPL's fair value?

ZEME estimates RPL's fair value at about Rs 8.09, versus a market price of Rs 15.51 — roughly 47.8% overvalued.

What smart-money phase is RPL in?

RPL is currently in the Early Load phase. Smart money is starting to accumulate — the earliest stage of a potential move.

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Data updated 16 Oct 2026 from ZEME AI's PSX engine. Educational analytics, not investment advice — do your own research and use a stop loss. Trading carries risk.