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PRL Pakistan Refinery Limited · Refinery

Is PRL a Buy? PRL Smart-Money Analysis, Fair Value & Signal

ZEME verdict — Distributing phase
Caution — ZEME flags distribution/exit; this is not a fresh accumulation setup.

What ZEME decides about PRL, and why

WAIT — earned weight 0.0 of 1.00, the summed measured record of the backing engines.

Because. engines disagree — 110% below fair value

Evidence. phase_ledger (weight 0.00); fair_value (weight 0.00)

Risk. stop-loss 77.61 (14.3% below the close). Most holdings here lose money within 5-10 sessions — exit at the stop.

The case against. strongest reason to stay out: distribution alert. A cheap share can keep falling.

The alternative. WAIT. Doing nothing is usually right — no engine currently has a proven edge on this share.

Base rate. about 1 in 4 liquid PSX shares touches +10% within 10 sessions anyway (25.87%, n=54,955 observations, 2017-2026). ZEME only recommends action when an engine has beaten that in its own record.

What happens next after the Distributing phase

Measured from 35 completed Distributing runs in ZEME's recorded phase history — these are frequencies of what actually happened next, not forecasts:

Typical stay in this phase: 2 sessions (median). durations are censored: the phase record begins 2026-07-16, so runs that started earlier or are still open are not measured here

ZEME publishes the case against its own signals, and the base rate any share has to beat. Educational analysis, not investment advice.

PriceRs 90.59
ZEME fair valueRs 190.18
Discount to fair value109.9%
Smart-money phaseDistributing
Confidence score25/100
RSI (14)80.5
P/E3.6
ROE45.5%
Dividend yield—%
52-week rangeRs 23.20 – Rs 99.34
SectorRefinery
Shariah-compliantYes ☪
✅ Get PRL signals free — create your ZEME account 📈 Live interactive chart & signals 💬 Ask ZEME about PRL

PRL (Pakistan Refinery Limited) trades at Rs 90.59 on the Pakistan Stock Exchange, in the Distributing smart-money phase — distributing. ZEME's model puts fair value near Rs 190.18, making it about 109.9% undervalued. Smart money appears to be selling into strength — treat rallies with caution.

ZEME AI reads PRL through operator accumulation/distribution phases, fair value across three methods, RSI and volume, plus institutional flow (FIPI/LIPI & off-market) — the same smart-money engine behind our daily PSX signals. For the live chart, entry/stop/target and history, open the interactive analysis above.

Is PRL a buy right now?

Caution — ZEME flags distribution/exit; this is not a fresh accumulation setup. Smart money appears to be selling into strength — treat rallies with caution. As of 27 Aug 2026, PRL is in the Distributing phase with a ZEME confidence score of 25/100.

What is PRL's fair value?

ZEME estimates PRL's fair value at about Rs 190.18, versus a market price of Rs 90.59 — roughly 109.9% undervalued.

What smart-money phase is PRL in?

PRL is currently in the Distributing phase. Smart money appears to be selling into strength — treat rallies with caution.

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Data updated 27 Aug 2026 from ZEME AI's PSX engine. Educational analytics, not investment advice — do your own research and use a stop loss. Trading carries risk.