AVOID — earned weight 0 of 1.00, the summed measured record of the backing engines.
Because. phase EARLY LOAD (0.67x measured) — one of the weakest states to buy; 28% above fair value
Evidence. phase_ledger (weight 0.00); fair_value (weight 0.00)
Risk. stop-loss 315.06 (3.8% below the close). Most holdings here lose money within 5-10 sessions — exit at the stop.
The case against. strongest reason to stay out: phase EARLY LOAD (0.67x measured) — one of the weakest states to buy; 28% above fair value. A cheap share can keep falling.
The alternative. WAIT. Doing nothing is usually right — no engine currently has a proven edge on this share.
Base rate. about 1 in 4 liquid PSX shares touches +10% within 10 sessions anyway (25.87%, n=54,955 observations, 2017-2026). ZEME only recommends action when an engine has beaten that in its own record.
Measured from 147 completed Early Load runs in ZEME's recorded phase history — these are frequencies of what actually happened next, not forecasts:
Typical stay in this phase: 3 sessions (median). durations are censored: the phase record begins 2026-07-16, so runs that started earlier or are still open are not measured here
ZEME publishes the case against its own signals, and the base rate any share has to beat. Educational analysis, not investment advice.
| Price | Rs 327.43 |
| ZEME fair value | Rs 236.93 |
| Discount to fair value | -27.6% |
| Smart-money phase | Early Load |
| Confidence score | 51/100 |
| RSI (14) | 56.3 |
| P/E | 9.1 |
| ROE | 11.3% |
| Dividend yield | 4.8% |
| 52-week range | Rs 238.20 – Rs 352.00 |
| Sector | Oil & Gas Exploration Companies |
| Shariah-compliant | Yes ☪ |
OGDC (Oil & Gas Development Co. Ltd) trades at Rs 327.43 on the Pakistan Stock Exchange, in the Early Load smart-money phase — starting to accumulate. ZEME's model puts fair value near Rs 236.93, making it about 27.6% overvalued. Smart money is starting to accumulate — the earliest stage of a potential move.
ZEME AI reads OGDC through operator accumulation/distribution phases, fair value across three methods, RSI and volume, plus institutional flow (FIPI/LIPI & off-market) — the same smart-money engine behind our daily PSX signals. For the live chart, entry/stop/target and history, open the interactive analysis above.
Constructive — ZEME sees smart-money accumulation; check the entry vs the load zone. Smart money is starting to accumulate — the earliest stage of a potential move. As of 27 Aug 2026, OGDC is in the Early Load phase with a ZEME confidence score of 51/100.
ZEME estimates OGDC's fair value at about Rs 236.93, versus a market price of Rs 327.43 — roughly 27.6% overvalued.
OGDC is currently in the Early Load phase. Smart money is starting to accumulate — the earliest stage of a potential move.
Data updated 27 Aug 2026 from ZEME AI's PSX engine. Educational analytics, not investment advice — do your own research and use a stop loss. Trading carries risk.