Is KOIL a Buy? KOIL Smart-Money Analysis, Fair Value & Signal

ZEME verdict — Running phase

It's already running — momentum is up, but the low-risk entry has likely passed.

What ZEME decides about KOIL, and why

ILLIQUID — earned weight 0 of 1.00, the summed measured record of the backing engines.

Because. Rs4.3mn/day — too thin to exit a 5-10 lac ticket

Risk. stop 33.56 (15.2% below close) — exit there

The case against. against: phase LAUNCHING (median -1.22% over 516 completed runs, 43.0% win) — the median run in this phase LOSES; 77% above fair value

What happens next after the Running phase

Measured from 404 completed Running runs in ZEME's recorded phase history — these are frequencies of what actually happened next, not forecasts:

LAUNCHING — 49.5% of the time (n=200)
WATCHING — 15.8% of the time (n=64)
DISTRIBUTING — 10.9% of the time (n=44)
EARLY LOAD — 10.6% of the time (n=43)
FULLY LOADED — 8.9% of the time (n=36)
EXITED — 2.5% of the time (n=10)
LOADING — 1.7% of the time (n=7)

Typical stay in this phase: 5 sessions (median). measured from 2026-07-16

ZEME publishes the case against its own signals, and the base rate any share has to beat. Educational analysis, not investment advice.

Price	Rs 38.09
ZEME fair value	Rs 8.78
Discount to fair value	-76.9%
Smart-money phase	Running
Confidence score	62/100
RSI (14)	54.0
P/E	30.7
ROE	4.9%
Dividend yield	—%
52-week range	Rs 27.00 – Rs 110.00
Sector	Textile Composite
Shariah-compliant	No

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KOIL (Kohinoor Industries Ltd) trades at Rs 38.09 on the Pakistan Stock Exchange, in the Running smart-money phase — in markup. ZEME's model puts fair value near Rs 8.78, making it about 76.9% overvalued. The stock is trending up in the markup phase — the move is underway.

ZEME AI reads KOIL through operator accumulation/distribution phases, fair value across three methods, RSI and volume, plus institutional flow (FIPI/LIPI & off-market) — the same smart-money engine behind our daily PSX signals. For the live chart, entry/stop/target and history, open the interactive analysis above.

Is KOIL a buy right now?

It's already running — momentum is up, but the low-risk entry has likely passed. The stock is trending up in the markup phase — the move is underway. As of 16 Oct 2026, KOIL is in the Running phase with a ZEME confidence score of 62/100.

What is KOIL's fair value?

ZEME estimates KOIL's fair value at about Rs 8.78, versus a market price of Rs 38.09 — roughly 76.9% overvalued.

What smart-money phase is KOIL in?

KOIL is currently in the Running phase. The stock is trending up in the markup phase — the move is underway.

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Data updated 16 Oct 2026 from ZEME AI's PSX engine. Educational analytics, not investment advice — do your own research and use a stop loss. Trading carries risk.