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FTSM First Tri-Star Modaraba · Modarabas

Is FTSM a Buy? FTSM Smart-Money Analysis, Fair Value & Signal

ZEME verdict — Running phase
It's already running — momentum is up, but the low-risk entry has likely passed.

What ZEME decides about FTSM, and why

BUY — earned weight 0.36 of 1.00, the summed measured record of the backing engines.

Because. phase RUNNING (1.36x measured)

Evidence. phase_ledger (weight 0.36)

Risk. stop-loss 36.30 (26.6% below the close). Most holdings here lose money within 5-10 sessions — exit at the stop.

The case against. no engine has evidence against this share today. That means missing data, not proof of safety.

The alternative. WAIT. Doing nothing is usually right — no engine currently has a proven edge on this share.

Base rate. about 1 in 4 liquid PSX shares touches +10% within 10 sessions anyway (25.87%, n=54,955 observations, 2017-2026). ZEME only recommends action when an engine has beaten that in its own record.

What happens next after the Running phase

Measured from 131 completed Running runs in ZEME's recorded phase history — these are frequencies of what actually happened next, not forecasts:

Typical stay in this phase: 5 sessions (median). durations are censored: the phase record begins 2026-07-16, so runs that started earlier or are still open are not measured here

ZEME publishes the case against its own signals, and the base rate any share has to beat. Educational analysis, not investment advice.

PriceRs 49.47
ZEME fair valueRs —
Discount to fair value—%
Smart-money phaseRunning
Confidence score32/100
RSI (14)56.2
P/E
ROE—%
Dividend yield—%
52-week rangeRs 11.52 – Rs 65.08
SectorModarabas
Shariah-compliantYes ☪
✅ Get FTSM signals free — create your ZEME account 📈 Live interactive chart & signals 💬 Ask ZEME about FTSM

FTSM (First Tri-Star Modaraba) trades at Rs 49.47 on the Pakistan Stock Exchange, in the Running smart-money phase — in markup. ZEME's model puts fair value near Rs —, making it about 0.0% overvalued. The stock is trending up in the markup phase — the move is underway.

ZEME AI reads FTSM through operator accumulation/distribution phases, fair value across three methods, RSI and volume, plus institutional flow (FIPI/LIPI & off-market) — the same smart-money engine behind our daily PSX signals. For the live chart, entry/stop/target and history, open the interactive analysis above.

Is FTSM a buy right now?

It's already running — momentum is up, but the low-risk entry has likely passed. The stock is trending up in the markup phase — the move is underway. As of 27 Aug 2026, FTSM is in the Running phase with a ZEME confidence score of 32/100.

What is FTSM's fair value?

ZEME estimates FTSM's fair value at about Rs —, versus a market price of Rs 49.47 — roughly 0.0% overvalued.

What smart-money phase is FTSM in?

FTSM is currently in the Running phase. The stock is trending up in the markup phase — the move is underway.

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Data updated 27 Aug 2026 from ZEME AI's PSX engine. Educational analytics, not investment advice — do your own research and use a stop loss. Trading carries risk.